Friday, January 31, 2014

Why was Vhong Navarro mauled?

Source: http://www.jennibailey.com/
That is the question!

Both sides have their answer. On one hand, Vhong Navarro cried that it was a set-up. On the other hand, Deniece cried that it was rape. Both sides cried, but one cry seemed to be louder than the other.

Which one?

Let us hear their cries based on the news.

No doubt, Vhong's is the louder one. Being an actor and a resident artist of ABS-CBN network do help in shaping the direction of the investigation and people's opinions. The release of the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) report based mainly on the closed-circuit television (CCTV) clips from the Forbeswood Heights in Bonifacio Global City, Taguig City, Metro Manila bolstered Vhong's claim of set-up. Notably, the CCTV clips are spliced to follow the events as they unfolded in two locations of the condominium unit (lobby and elevator). Several times as I watched the CCTV, I noticed that Vhong and Cedric, after they reached the second floor where Deniece's unit is located, got out of the elevator and turned right, while the rest, including Deniece, when they reached the second floor, turned left. Another issue is that the CCTV did not capture the most important event (i.e., set-up or rape) which happened inside the room. Thus, everyone is free to interpret and conclude. However, the CCTV could not provide an answer to our question: Why was Vhong Navarro mauled? Set-up. For what? 1 million pesos. That is equivalent to 125,000 pesos for each of the eight accused of set-up. 125k pesos!

Deniece's version of rape is getting flak from social media users and fans of her Kuya Vhong. Her claim has been prostituted many times. What she has to support her version is the signed police blotter describing briefly the incident that happened on the 22nd of January 2014. The blotter was signed by Vhong Navarro. The police officers who were present there tried to get the side of Vhong several times. But Vhong repeatedly (not once, but several times) declined to counter the claim explicitly written in the blotter. He was quoted saying: "For my family's sake, I'll rather not talk." Another piece that is, to my mind, the most important evidence to bolster her claim is her story. Because of her friendship with her Kuya Vhong and the mauling Vhong got from her friends, she was willing to forego the filing of the case as indicated in the police blotter.

Now, both sides have filed their legal cases. It is up to the court to decide who is telling the truth.

Why was Vhong Navarro mauled? To me, I'd rather be convinced by a story than a CCTV.

Saturday, January 25, 2014

Philippines will not reach 100 million in population this year (2014)

The Population Commission (PopCom) of the Philippines declares that the country will hit 100 million in population this year 2014. Below you will see how PopCom counts by the second. As of January 26, 2014 (00:56:29), its counter shows 99,028,209 (just 971,791 short of hitting 100 million). The projected population is based on the 1.98 population growth rate.




THIS IS INACCURATE!!!
The use of 1.98 growth rate to project the population for this year is quite over-extending the numbers. The National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) has projected the growth rate between 2010 and 2015 to be 1.82 percent (1.16 percent lower than what PopCom is using). The trend is going down as the years pass. So we should expect that 2014 must be lower than 1.82 percent.


If you google Philippines population growth rate, there will be a graph that looks like this. The data is from the World Bank. It shows that the Philippines population growth rate is 1.7 percent in 2012. That is lower, as expected, than the 5-year (2010-2015) projection of 1.82 percent. To project our population this year, we will use the 2012 rate of 1.7 percent. Thus, our projected population at the end of 2014 is 98,616,825 (short of 1,383,175). This is closer to the real number of Filipinos.